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Metro Momentum Offers Expansive Plans for System's Future

The new strategic plan aims to take Metro through 2040.

 

A $26 billion strategic plan released by Metro last week gave a glimpse at the agency's vision — which includes several substantial recommendations like new Potomac River crossings and new metro stations — for taking the transit agency into 2025, 2040 and beyond.

Called Metro Momentum, the plan acknowledged piecemeal fixes to an aging system are barely scraping the surface of the transit agency's needs and a growing DC region, whose population is expected grow 30 percent over the next three decades. 

"Our customers know that many trains, stations and buses are already crowded and we need to begin planning now to prevent that from worsening and prepare for more riders,” Metro General Manager and CEO Richard Sarles said in a press release. 

As Metro explains, when the system was first built in the 1970s it served 100,000 customers a day. Today, an expanded system serves 750,000 customers a day — 20 million trips each year.

Metro's Momentum proposes bringing the current system up to speed in station safety and function, coordinating proposed transportation expansion projects with regional partners and developing an expansion plan for the Metro system with a sustainable, reliable source of income, among other goals.

But how the agency will achieve that last goal has emerged as the plan's largest uncertainty. 

The Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority governs Metro with a board of representatives from the District, Maryland, Virginia and the federal government. Funding Momentum's projects could mean a higher bill for those jurisdictions, more expensive fares, or both.

Close to 58 percent of Metro's funding comes from fare revenue, while participating jurisdictions make annual contributions to cover the rest of Metro's daily operations and capital costs. The federal government has funded nearly two-thirds of the system's capital costs over the years through grants.

Opponents of the system's $5.5 billion Silver Line, which will run through Fairfax and Loudoun Counties, often point to the unknown cost of capital needs for Metro, and responsibility for those costs.

A quarter of the cost of the first phase of the line, which will open in December, is being paid for by user tolls. Seventy-five percent of the second phase through Reston and Loudoun County may be funded the same way, in addition to proposed tax districts localities will use to fund their shares.

The federal government committed $900 million to phase one, but nothing to phase two.

In releasing Momentum, Metro issued a "challenge" to regional leaders to help develop a funding strategy to support the expansion. Metro says it wants regional governments to help develop multi-year budgets to provide a more reliable source of income for metro projects.

For Momentum, Metro says it will need $1 billion per year to maintain the current system, an additional $500 million a year to maximize the capacity of the existing system core and to coordinate with planned projects in other jurisdictions.

It also says it needs $740 million additional per year to put toward long-term growth.

The system's projects are divided between several tiers of goals: Projects maximizing the existing system, to be completed by 2025, and long-term goals to help expand it by 2040 or 2050.

For instance, by 2025, Metro recommends using eight-car trains system-wide. Meeting that recommendation would cost $6 billion.

Metro believes it should also create underground pedestrian tunnels for transfers between core stations like Metro Center and Gallery Place-Chinatown to reduce the congestion on platforms and escalators as customers transfer.

In the long-term 2040 plan, Metro envisions adding stations, including a second stop at the Pentagon. The agency also suggests creating new train tunnels to separate out trains that share lines, like building a new Blue Line tunnel under the Potomac River and M Street in Georgetown to reduce congestion at the Rosslyn station, the parting point for the Blue and Orange lines.

What else is on tap? Patch will provide a more detailed account of both the 2025 and 2040 plans in the days to come.

You can read the entire plan on Metro's Momentum webpage.

What do you think of Metro's plans? What changes and improvements would like to see?

Related Topics: Metro 2025, Metro 2040, Metro Forward, and Metro expansion

John Smith1

1:05 pm on Friday, February 1, 2013

I looked quickly at several of the links from this article, but didn't find a map showing planned expansion of Metro rail out to 2040 as I'd hoped. Do plans call for extending rail service out to Leesburg and Manassas, for example? A well designed, color-coded picture/map would be worth a thousand words. Thanks.

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Drew Hansen

1:41 pm on Friday, February 1, 2013

Thanks for the comment, John. There are several maps in Metro's longterm strategic plan (PDF link: http://bit.ly/WBiO4l) but they did not translate well as media to this story.

We'll have more on this next week, but here's what was written in the plan about potential expansion on page 33 of the link I posted above:

"To address the growth in the outer suburbs and extend the reach of transit, several extensions could be considered. These could be developed as Metrorail, bus rapid transit, or light rail, depending on further analysis. However, as they would bring additional riders into the core system, the core capacity improvements discussed would need to be in place prior to undertaking extensions. Examples of potential extensions include:

• Orange line extension from New Carrollton to Bowie and Crain Highway in Maryland
• Orange Line extension from Vienna to Centreville in Virginia
• Blue Line extension to Prince William County/Potomac Mills"

Look for at least a couple more stories on this topic next week.

Bob Bruhns

5:20 pm on Friday, February 1, 2013

1) Who makes up these numbers? For example - a Billion dollars to upgrade the Metro system to 8-car trains system-wide? Can somebody provide a price breakout on that? Or are the line-item prices Super Secret, like the line-item prices in the Dulles Rail / Silver Line, that were all redacted? Who are the cost estimators, what is the basis of their estimates, and are their line item estimates available to the public? These are not idle questions - in the Dulles Rail / Silver Line project, the cost of the Rt 28 station is ridiculously higher (2.4x) than the price of a 12-car train Metrorail station, with full length canopies over its dual-side platforms in wealthy Fairfield, Connecticut. Ours has a half-length canopy, and only accommodates 8-car trains, yet it costs 2.4 times as much - and no explanation whatsoever for that stunning price difference has ever been offered.

2) If the cost of the Dulles Rail / Silver Line project is $5.5 Billion, then why did MWAA put in a Tifia Letter of Interest claiming it is $6 Billion?
http://www.metwashairports.com/file/TIFIA_Letter_of_Interest(1).pdf

3) "A quarter of the cost of the first phase of the line, which will open in December, is being paid for by user tolls. Seventy-five percent of the second phase through Reston and Loudoun County may be funded the same way..." That is at best misleading - as people are beginning to realize, the user tolls are not on users of the rail line, but on users of a nearby toll road.

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Bob Bruhns

12:34 am on Saturday, February 2, 2013

YIKES - it's not ONE Billion dollars to upgrade to 8-car trains - it's SIX Billion dollars! Talk about disturbing... But my challenge stands: JUSTIFY THE PRICE.

Bob Bruhns

8:05 pm on Friday, February 1, 2013

Also, who actually wrote this article? It struck me as an extremely Rah-Rah-Metro article when I first saw it on Ashburn Patch and Leesburg Patch credited to Dusty Smith - but here it is, word for word the same article as far as I can see, credited to Shaun Courtney and Drew Hansen in Oakton Patch and Georgetown Patch and maybe others. My guess is that this was a press-kit article from WMATA, and it was improperly credited, wasn't it. It's listed as news - is it paid advertisement? I know news reporters are busy, but this really should have been attributed to WMATA, or whoever released it, shouldn't it? Where did it actually come from, anyway?

Where else have our rather questionable quasi-government operations been ghost-writing their own praises in the news media? I think people should see and understand how they are being influenced and manipulated by this sort of uncredited politicking by organizations that are massively overcharging us.

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Drew Hansen

8:18 am on Saturday, February 2, 2013

Bob, thanks for your comments. Shaun and I wrote this story as a synopsis of Metro's longrange plans for the Patch sites across Virginia (and DC) to use. It is not a paid advertisement. We wrote it with info that came from Metro's strategic plan. Again, this article is just a summary Metro's efforts and the intent was not to promote them but to inform our readers of what those plans are and hopefully start a discussion about those plans. As it says at the bottom of the article, we will have additional stories in the days ahead about Metro's longterm plan. Your question about the numbers/cost is a very good one and we're looking into it.

The byline issue is an error that can be attributed to the way we distribute articles between Patch sites. I've asked my colleague Dusty Smith to correct the mistake.

Thanks again for your comments.

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Bob Bruhns

12:34 pm on Saturday, February 2, 2013

Hi Drew. I just saw Dusty's posts, yeah I can see how that happened. Sorry I got that impression and I'll correct it where I posted about it.

The prices are still unacceptable. Six Billion dollars, to upgrade SOME of the system to 8 cars from 6? That's right up there with the Rt 28 station, built for 8-car trains and having half-length canopy on its single platform, costing 2.4 times as much as the Fairfield, Connecticut Metrorail station (completed 12/2011), built for 12-car trains and having FULL-length canopies over BOTH of its platforms. Its side-platform design should also have made it MORE expensive than the Rt 28 station's island platform design. Yet there has been NO explanation for, or correction of, the wildly excessive price of our Rt 28 Metro station! We need line-item cost review on these jobs.

WMATA seems to charge way too much for its parking garages too. Fairfax County Dulles Rail Project Manager Mark Canale said that WMATA charged an amount similar to the earlier Dulles Rail / Silver Line estimate of $26,383 per space for parking garages (that is about 55% high), and then MWAA hiked the overcharge bar to $34,014 per space (100% high). The $26 Billion number suggests that WMATA is following suit, and history suggests that the $26 Billion number will skyrocket. I hope people who are Rah-Rah-Metro will agree that we need to call out the cost estimators this time, and take a long, hard look at the line item prices that we will be paying for generations.

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Bob Bruhns

1:23 pm on Saturday, February 2, 2013

I was mistaken - the multiple attribution was the result of a small technical error on the part of one editor who did not mean to take improper credit for the article or to conceal its source, but who meant only to carry the article, with proper attribution, on his local Patch site. The article was written by two editors from Patch, and was not simply lifted from 'press kit' propaganda material from anybody as I had thought. It sure looked like it to me, but I was wrong. My apologies to these editors and to all readers. (No, I wasn't sued or threatened, I just wanted to correct MY mistake.)

Daniel Davies

10:33 am on Saturday, February 2, 2013

Metro is a dangerous mess, and it is only getting worse. Read this article about a recent incident: http://www.theatlanticcities.com/commute/2013/02/one-worst-mass-transit-commute-horror-stories-you-will-ever-read

Their is no funding source for these serious safety needs. The federal government is losing a trillion dollars ($1,000,000,000,000) every year, and a brand new study shows the failure of federal transit funding: http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2013/01/transit-policy-in-an-era-of-the-shrinking-federal-dollar

Our tolls are currently being diverted to expand this mess out towards our communities. Metro expects to lose money on the Silver Line, making their funding shortage even worse.

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Bob Bruhns

4:58 am on Sunday, February 3, 2013

Back to WMATA's $26 Billion Dollar Surprise - who made up these numbers? Did WMATA do an actual cost estimate, or were these numbers simply made up and typed into a spreadsheet somewhere? If there was an actual cost estimate, who made it? Where can the public examine any estimates, and the basis for them?

These numbers are staggering, and experience argues that they will now proceed to grow larger and larger. They should be considered very carefully, and this time they should be considered in the full light of day. So, is this financial information going to be available to the people who will be expected to pay for it all?

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